Forecast Hub

Gold continues to demonstrate remarkable strength, holding near USD 4,150–4,200/oz, up more than 4 % this monthas capital rotation into tangible assets accelerates. The move confirms the sustained upward momentum that began in 2018 and has now entered the late-cycle acceleration phase — the same structural stage that preceded the 2011 peak.

Until a confirmed low forms on the daily or weekly timeframes this remains a wait and see environment. Planning should assume that price decline can remain an extended feature.

For those who arrived late to the 2024–2025 bull market, this is not a setback. You are now in a prime position to plan your re-entry during the corrective phase and prepare for the next expansion - one that may again carry Bitcoin toward the $180,000–$220,000 region. This is the time to plan, position and prepare, not to disengage.

Understanding the Four Year Cycle Why We Are Not Ready to Call the Top Yet And Why Every Investor Should Have an Exit Plan Prepared The four year Bitcoin cycle is one of the most widely recognised patterns in digital asset markets. It has guided expectations through multiple cycles and remains an important framework for understanding major turning points. However, even though we are sitting inside the traditional topping window, current market conditions do not offer enough p

After a strong recovery in U.S. equities, global markets are showing a distinct divergence across asset classes. The Dow Jones has reclaimed higher ground, metals are consolidating, and the crypto sector remains stagnant as traders await confirmation of the next move. With the four-year cycle due to conclude in mid-November — aligning with the high-energy window of 19–24 November — markets appear to be at a critical turning point.

While the sell-off shook confidence across all risk assets, it’s important to recognise that crypto corrective phases typically range between 40 – 70 percent from peak to trough — a rhythm consistently observed across multiple cycles. By comparison, Bitcoin’s decline of only around 20 percent during this event is relatively shallow. Even with daily price candles moving ~5 percent, this remains a minor correction in historical context.

Big-Picture Takeaway Gold and silver have joined crypto in signalling broad risk-on interest in hard assets. The metals’ rapid appreciation matches the trajectory we’ve outlined in past long-range projections, underscoring the shift in macro sentiment toward tangible stores of value. Short-term, the steep ascent means dips and consolidation are to be expected, but the long-term growth narrative remains intact.

BTC leads; alts lag. ETH is the only alt yet to chase BTC into current high zones. Structure and levels: BTC remains inside the indecision area where prior all-time-high trends are being tested, as well as the ~US$110,000 zone. On the daily, bullish structure is evident after the recent dip—there’s now a sequence of higher highs and higher lows, suggesting a low has formed.